Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 4.242955 4.559258 4.898860 5.292544 5.738842 6.232065 6.822548
2025-07-20 3.806690 4.254754 4.767893 5.407029 6.193468 7.145905 8.413440
2025-07-27 3.546506 4.072010 4.701558 5.527857 6.610539 8.022921 10.083967
2025-08-03 3.311161 3.876586 4.576780 5.533131 6.849966 8.676703 11.566945
2025-08-10 3.083362 3.662074 4.396640 5.430924 6.911785 9.071876 12.735762
2025-08-17 2.877502 3.455694 4.203871 5.283094 6.878190 9.305083 13.680489
2025-08-24 2.726231 3.307748 4.073842 5.204474 6.927657 9.661537 14.911911
2025-08-31 2.638925 3.237249 4.040929 5.257265 7.176181 10.371906 16.998491
2025-09-07 2.549079 3.156421 3.985887 5.269056 7.356524 10.991069 19.105964
2025-09-14 2.411355 3.001714 3.815639 5.090733 7.202622 10.978840 19.807212
2025-09-21 2.306132 2.886948 3.695850 4.980428 7.150157 11.146413 20.997107
2025-09-28 2.224521 2.801222 3.612959 4.920748 7.176685 11.468758 22.705204
2025-10-05 2.154688 2.731516 3.553338 4.899606 7.279980 11.988691 25.283708
2025-10-12 2.118389 2.708381 3.562050 4.990875 7.600629 13.042911 30.175828
2025-10-19 2.088030 2.691884 3.579051 5.096284 7.961243 14.279790 36.812135
2025-10-26 2.036190 2.640982 3.539496 5.100837 8.124000 15.088780 42.668763
2025-11-02 1.966771 2.560887 3.449923 5.010927 8.083931 15.375471 46.503353
2025-11-09 1.892971 2.471514 3.341634 4.880673 7.946418 15.377832 48.959438
2025-11-16 1.836833 2.406837 3.269862 4.811295 7.930792 15.715884 53.867606
2025-11-23 1.808472 2.383157 3.262542 4.857889 8.170476 16.847738 66.024858
2025-11-30 1.774367 2.349273 3.236817 4.868291 8.331219 17.798267 79.572313
2025-12-07 1.708925 2.264979 3.125101 4.710792 8.093161 17.430414 80.466526
2025-12-14 1.658314 2.202331 3.047034 4.613174 7.986170 17.478142 86.170490